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>> Stock is down. It must be
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something bad. That's all
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everyone thinks during earnings
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season. It's like one big echo
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chamber. It's astonishing to
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watch, but more often it's
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totally backward. If a stock is
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down, you might be better off
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assuming it's a buying
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opportunity. I know that sounds
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like a really ridiculous
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orthodoxy, but it sure makes
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sense when I see, like on my
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screen, the banks and what's
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going on. Take Goldman Sachs, a
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company I worked at, know very
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well. One reason for the Chapel
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Trust. Whenever I get with
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Goldman alums and I do or
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current members, I do that too.
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Among the first things that come
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up after you talk friends and
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family is how cheap the stock
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is. Remember, lots of people use
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really sophisticated metrics
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involving return on tangible
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equity and the efficiency ratio
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to measure banks versus banks. I
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never paid, I don't pay that
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much mind. I am at heart a price
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to earnings. Multiple man. I
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spent about two dozen pages in
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the soon to be released How to
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Make money in Any market on how
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brilliant the p e multiple is
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when you're trying to compare
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apples to apples. The craziest
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thing is that Goldman is a
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fabulous firm, trades at a big
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discount to the average stock in
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the S&P 500 because its earnings
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used to be so hypersonic. This
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used to be. This is something
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that CEO David Solomon has
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worked hard to change. And this
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quarter showed how the company
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has become much more of a
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well-oiled machine, where you're
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going to get a number that
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doesn't swing wildly, good, bad
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or indifferent. I think this is
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the beginning of when the stock
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gets reevaluated upward, and the
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multiple has a giant upward
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revision, and that's going to
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propel the stock much higher.
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Rocket ship.
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>> House of pleasure.
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>> So today when I saw the stock
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down at one point this morning
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after Goldman reported a blowout
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quarter, a truly blowout
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quarter, I went ballistic at our
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investing club morning meeting
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show and said, enough already.
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When it's down, that doesn't
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make it bad. When I saw Goldman
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down six, I said someone wanted
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to buy 100 shares by 25. Now by
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25. A little bit lower and then
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by 50. That's called pyramid
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style buying. Gradually getting
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more bigger as it goes down. Why
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did I have to give that
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instruction? Because when a
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stock starts to go lower, it
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will often keep going lower
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until all the people who don't
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know anything are done selling,
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and you get a terrific price
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from their ignorance. We saw
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that Goldman today as the stock
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eventually rebounded and
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finished the session up more
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than six bucks. This was their
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best trading quarter in history.
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And it's a great trading firm
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very strong wealth management
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beginning of a turn in M&A and
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IPOs. That's really all you can
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ask for from Goldman. And it's
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the stuff that's going to make
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the stock a much higher multiple
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stock. And I like that. The
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number of times this kind of
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thing happens in earnings season
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is truly insane. People just
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don't have the time to
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investigate. So they presume and
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very often they get it wrong.
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Here's what I want you to do. I
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can't promise that every decline
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is a mistake. While there are
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many mistakes made, plenty of
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stocks go down because they
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deserve it. But if you own a
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stock and you see it go down
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first, check the conference call
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transcript, then put it through
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a chat bot and ask if anything
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went wrong that you might have
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missed. I like ChatGPT and
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perplexity to do that. The good
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ones will tell you what lines
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may have been a disappointment.
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Ask it to compare Goldman to the
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others in the industry. If it
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checks out the way I saw it,
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check out, then the answer is
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you need to do some buying on
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weakness. Why? Because the
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weakness won't last for long. I
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like to say there's always a
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bull market somewhere just for